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The KernelAg Blog

Grain marketing insights, crop insurance strategies, and farm management tips from the field.

Grain Markets

March 31 Prospective Plantings Preview: What Corn & Soybean Farmers Need to Watch

USDA's Prospective Plantings report drops March 31. Allendale's survey pegs corn at 93.7M acres and soybeans at 85.7M — a 5-million-acre shift. With 70% of the Midwest in drought and both crops below break-even, here's how to position before the numbers hit.

Grain Markets

Corn vs. Soybeans in 2026: Why Farmers Are Shifting Nearly 5 Million Acres

USDA projects 85 million soybean acres — up 3.9 million from 2025. With corn acres dropping from 98.8M to 94M, rising fertilizer costs from the Iran conflict, biofuel demand, and tight margins are driving the biggest corn-to-soybean shift in years.

Farm Management

How to Calculate Your Break-Even Price Per Bushel (Step-by-Step)

Every grain marketing decision starts with one number: your break-even. Here's how to calculate it the right way — with every cost included and common mistakes to avoid.

Grain Markets

The Iran War Is Moving Grain Markets — Here's What Farmers Need to Do Before It Ends

The Strait of Hormuz is shut down, fertilizer prices have spiked 25–30%, and grain futures are at new yearly highs. But Trump says the war will end soon — and when it does, the rally disappears fast. Here's why you need to know your breakeven today.

Equipment

John Deere Unveils the 8R 540: The World's Most Powerful Row-Crop Tractor at 634 Peak HP

Deere announced six new high-HP 8R and 8RX tractors at Commodity Classic 2026. The flagship 8RX 540 could approach $1 million fully loaded. Full specs, estimated pricing, and whether the money is better spent buying farmland.

Farm Economy

John Deere Stock Hits 52-Week High as CEO Calls 2026 "The Bottom" of the Farm Slump

Deere beat Q1 estimates, raised full-year guidance to $4.5–$5B, and CEO John May says 2026 is the bottom of the ag cycle. Here's what the earnings mean for corn and soybean farmers.

Weather & Planting

Midwest Drought Expands Heading into 2026 Planting Season — What Farmers Should Watch

Midwest drought is expanding as winter precipitation falls short, with nearly half of Iowa abnormally dry. Here's what the conditions mean for spring planting and your crop insurance decisions before March 15.

Cattle Markets

Trump Signs Executive Order Quadrupling Argentine Beef Imports — What It Means for U.S. Cattle Producers

President Trump authorized 80,000 additional metric tons of Argentine beef imports in 2026. With the U.S. herd at a record-low 86.2 million head, here's what cattle ranchers need to know.

Crop Insurance

Why Crop Insurance Matters More Than Ever for the 2026 Growing Season

With volatile markets, rising input costs, and major subsidy changes (SCO and ECO now at 80% subsidy), crop insurance is critical for corn and soybean farmers in 2026.

More articles coming soon

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